Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000979 0.001121 0.001264 0.001420 0.001584 0.001750 0.001930
2025-06-29 0.000772 0.000975 0.001188 0.001426 0.001683 0.001950 0.002246
2025-07-06 0.000674 0.000928 0.001205 0.001522 0.001870 0.002237 0.002651
2025-07-13 0.000517 0.000800 0.001119 0.001495 0.001917 0.002370 0.002886
2025-07-20 0.000372 0.000666 0.001014 0.001437 0.001922 0.002450 0.003060
2025-07-27 0.000302 0.000614 0.000998 0.001475 0.002031 0.002642 0.003354
2025-08-03 0.000221 0.000535 0.000942 0.001461 0.002076 0.002760 0.003563
2025-08-10 0.000130 0.000425 0.000837 0.001381 0.002039 0.002781 0.003660
2025-08-17 0.000076 0.000355 0.000776 0.001349 0.002054 0.002857 0.003816
2025-08-24 0.000027 0.000267 0.000680 0.001267 0.002004 0.002856 0.003882
2025-08-31 0.000007 0.000223 0.000639 0.001251 0.002033 0.002943 0.004045
2025-09-07 0.000002 0.000207 0.000640 0.001289 0.002125 0.003103 0.004292
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000149 0.000579 0.001258 0.002152 0.003212 0.004509
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000113 0.000547 0.001266 0.002230 0.003383 0.004802
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000109 0.000575 0.001359 0.002417 0.003686 0.005251
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000070 0.000523 0.001335 0.002453 0.003808 0.005489
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000033 0.000455 0.001280 0.002447 0.003877 0.005665
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000022 0.000448 0.001317 0.002559 0.004090 0.006008
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000008 0.000412 0.001304 0.002604 0.004219 0.006252
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000341 0.001228 0.002560 0.004236 0.006362
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001198 0.002575 0.004325 0.006554
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000238 0.001120 0.002521 0.004324 0.006639
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000212 0.001105 0.002553 0.004432 0.006851